Match Genk vs Charleroi April 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Genk arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a stronger overall squad. Their offensive threat matches well against Charleroi's defense, while the home crowd at Cegeka Arena should boost their pressing game. Charleroi’s recent form is shaky, and they face a tough task breaking down Genk’s compact block.

Home edge in defense and attack
Genk’s consistent form versus Charleroi’s struggles
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · CHA 4-2-3-1

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · CHA

23 Bibout

📊 Statistics

GEN 1 – 1 CHA

61%

Possession (%)

39%

2.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk and Charleroi drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.76 to 1.50. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 12, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.46 units (Brier 0.171).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.98	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.18	—	48%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
BTTS No	2.28	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.83	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	55%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.87	—	43%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	81%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.45	—	70%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.43	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.50	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	76%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	24%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.82	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.85	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.46u	−14% ROI