Match Lask Linz vs Sturm Graz April 19, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.17 — +12.5% better than the market.

Lask Linz hosts Sturm Graz in a clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, but the home side's recent form and home momentum can't be ignored. Lask Linz's attacking edge against Sturm Graz's defense suggests a tactical battle, while the home side's compact block and pressing could disrupt Graz's rhythm.

Home momentum with strong recent results
Sturm Graz's defensive solidity tested by home attack
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.17 ✓ Cashed

AI 52% Implied 46% +1.17u

+117%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LAS 3-4-1-2 · STU 3-4-2-1

LAS · 3-4-1-2 3-4-2-1 · STU

7 Adeniran

📊 Statistics

LAS 1 – 1 STU

63%

Possession (%)

37%

3.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.12

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

61%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lask Linz and Sturm Graz drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.41 to 1.12. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 28 shots to 4, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.92 units (Brier 0.153).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.17	—	52%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
BTTS No	2.27	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.66	—	65%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.26	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.77	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.61	—	52%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Home Win	2.30	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.67	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	73%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Away Win	3.25	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	61%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.19	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.90	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	72%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.92u	−17% ROI