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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Dender — Cercle Brugge

Predictions by Market: Dender vs Cercle Brugge

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Dender
Dender
Home · last 5 L W L L D
Kick-off
Sun 19 Apr · 14:00
1:4
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
W W W L L Away · last 5
Dender Football Complex · Denderleeuw Referee J. Boterberg

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · DEN
20%
Best 3.92
Draw
25%
Best 3.75
Away Win · CER
55%
Best 1.83
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.20
Fair odds
3.95
book 4.20 · +6.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 25% · EV +6.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 20.3%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.2%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28.6%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.3%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 20.3%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
DEN – CER @ 4.20
+6.2%
Edge
Forecast →