Match Panetolikos vs Panserraikos April 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.71 — +14.3% better than the market.

Panetolikos holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid defensive setup, which could frustrate Panserraikos' attempts to break through. Despite Panserraikos showing better recent form, Panetolikos' home momentum and defensive resilience suggest a tight contest with limited goals. The pace may be moderate, favoring a compact block and cautious build-up.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Recent form favors visitors but quality gap leans home
Likely low-scoring, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.71 ✗ Lost

AI 67% Implied 58% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAN 4-1-4-1 · PAN 5-3-2

PAN · 4-1-4-1 5-3-2 · PAN

25 Badji

📊 Statistics

PAN 2 – 3 PAN

70%

Possession (%)

30%

0.98

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Panserraikos won 3–2 away at Panetolikos. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 6, 7 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.45 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +5.72 units (Brier 0.426).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.71	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.61	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.82	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.05	—	40%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.25	—	33%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.44	—	30%	Cashed	+1.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.85	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.21	—	88%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	56%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.29	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	80%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.37	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.00	—	14%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.80	—	12%	Cashed	+3.80	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.61	—	14%	Cashed	+2.61	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+5.72u	+34% ROI