Match Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC April 18, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +14.9% better than the market.

Aris Thessalonikis hosts Volos NFC in a tightly matched Super League 1 clash. Despite a slight quality edge for Volos, Aris enjoys a moderate home advantage with a compact defensive setup that challenges Volos' less potent attack. Both sides show similar recent form, hinting at a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances.

Aris' defensive solidity may stifle Volos' offense.
Volos' marginal quality edge could test Aris' resilience.
Expect a controlled tempo with a low goal environment.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ARI 4-2-3-1 · VOL 5-4-1

ARI · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · VOL

9 Kadewere

📊 Statistics

ARI 3 – 2 VOL

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aris Thessalonikis beat Volos NFC 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.69 to 0.49. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 11, 9 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.49 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.61 units (Brier 0.253).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.80	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.78	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.22	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.69	—	52%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.10	—	36%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.04	—	37%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.29	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.28	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.70	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	77%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.08	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	83%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.37	—	61%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.24	—	52%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.70	—	16%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.61u	−15% ROI