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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Charleroi — Standard Liege

Predictions by Market: Charleroi vs Standard Liege

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Charleroi
Charleroi
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 16:15
1:2
Full-time
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
W W D W L Away · last 5
Stade du Pays de Charleroi · Charleroi Referee Bram Van Driessche, Belgium

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CHA
59%
Best 2.02
Draw
24%
Best 3.35
Away Win · STA
16%
Best 3.62
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.65
Fair odds
3.26
book 3.65 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (69%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.67
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 16.4%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.7%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 43.3%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.7%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16.4%
Odds 3.18
Show model details
Implied probability 31.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 40.7%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 83.6%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CHA – STA @ 3.65
+11.8%
Edge
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