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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League KVC Westerlo — Genk

Match KVC Westerlo vs Genk April 18, 2026 — Result and Stats

KVC Westerlo
KVC Westerlo
Home · last 5 D L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 16:15
1:2
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W D D W D Away · last 5
Het Kuipje · Westerlo Referee Bert Verbeke, Netherlands
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.47
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.50
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.63
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.94 – 2.60
Δ −1.66
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Genk holds a quality edge and a slight offensive advantage against Westerlo's defense, suggesting they can break down the home side's compact block. Westerlo's home momentum and better recent form add intrigue, but Genk's pressing edge and higher overall strength hint at a competitive clash. Expect a balanced tempo with chances for both sides, leaning towards an away win given Genk's sharper attack and defensive solidity.

  • Genk's offensive pressure vs Westerlo's defense
  • Home form advantage for Westerlo
  • Moderate pace with goal-scoring opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

WES 12 GEN
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.94
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.60
13
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
10
11
Fouls
12
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Genk won 2–1 away at KVC Westerlo. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.60 to 0.94. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.18 units (Brier 0.125).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.47 48% Cashed +1.47 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.50 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.61 64% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 58% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.90 48% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.76 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.04 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.47 73% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.51 60% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.57 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.30 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 80% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.75 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.18u −25% ROI