FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen 2:2: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 14:30
2:2
Full-time
Swissporarena · Lucerne
Referee Luca Piccolo, Switzerland
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.62
✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 44% · book 2.70
✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.79
✗
xG (open play)
1.07 – 1.76
Δ −0.69
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.62 — +8.6% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.62
✓ Cashed
AI 67%
Implied 62%
+0.62u
⛀ Lineups
LUZ 4-3-1-2 · GAL 3-1-4-2
📊 Statistics
LUZ 2
– 2 GAL
1.07
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.76
70%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
Match recap
FC Luzern and FC ST. Gallen drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–0.
On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.76 to 1.07. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.52 units (Brier 0.161).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.62 |
— |
67% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.70 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.79 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.20 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.20 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.04 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.37 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.83 |
— |
33% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
3.00 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.88 |
— |
36% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.49 |
— |
64% |
Cashed |
+0.49 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.43 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.43 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.52 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.52 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
6.50 |
— |
16% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.03 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
23.00 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.14 |
— |
84% |
Cashed |
+0.14 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
4.05 |
— |
23% |
Cashed |
+3.05 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−2.52u |
−15% ROI |
