Anderlecht vs Gent 3:1: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 16:30
3:1
Full-time
Gent
D
D
D
L
D
Away · last 5
Referee Lawrence Visser, Belgium
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.91
✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 37% · book 2.65
✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.67
✓
xG (open play)
1.53 – 2.13
Δ −0.60
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.91 — +11.2% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.91
✗ Lost
AI 58%
Implied 52%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
AND 4-2-3-1 · GEN 3-4-1-2
📊 Statistics
AND 3
– 1 GEN
1.53
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.13
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
70%
Match recap
Anderlecht beat Gent 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.13 to 1.53. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.06 units (Brier 0.173).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.91 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.65 |
— |
37% |
Cashed |
+1.65 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.67 |
— |
59% |
Cashed |
+0.67 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.60 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.60 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.33 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.28 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.00 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+1.00 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
3.85 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.81 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.52 |
— |
63% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.31 |
— |
66% |
Cashed |
+0.31 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
— |
81% |
Cashed |
+0.22 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.88 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.45 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+0.45 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.75 |
— |
19% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
15.00 |
— |
6% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−4.06u |
−24% ROI |
