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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Thun — FC Basel 1893

Predictions by Market: FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Thun
FC Thun
Home · last 5 L L L L D
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 18:30
3:1
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
L W L L L Away · last 5
Stockhorn Arena · Thun Referee Mirel Turkes, Switzerland

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · THU
61%
Best 1.81
Draw
22%
Best 3.98
Away Win · BAS
18%
Best 3.80
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 7.00
Fair odds
6.39
book 7.00 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 16% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (84%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 17.9%
Odds 3.96
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.5%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.7%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 84.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 36.5%
Odds 2.91
Show model details
Implied probability 34.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 17.9%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82.1%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
THU – BAS @ 7.00
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →