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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › SC Freiburg — Celta Vigo

Predictions by Market: SC Freiburg vs Celta Vigo

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Thu 09 Apr · 19:00
3:0
Full-time
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
W D W L L Away · last 5
Referee G. Nyberg

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRE
40%
Best 2.23
Draw
28%
Best 3.24
Away Win · CEL
32%
Best 3.40
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.30
Fair odds
3.13
book 3.30 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (40%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 32%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.2%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 5 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 90%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 53%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FRE – CEL @ 3.30
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →