Match RAAL La Louvière vs Dender April 6, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +13.2% better than the market.

RAAL La Louvière holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite a recent mixed run. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Dender's leaky backline, suggesting a pressing edge for the hosts. However, Dender's slightly better recent form and balanced attack-defense metrics hint at a competitive clash. Expect a tactical battle with RAAL's compact block likely to frustrate visitors.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Moderate home form advantage
Likely cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 56% +0.80u

+80%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAA 3-4-1-2 · DEN 4-2-3-1

RAA · 3-4-1-2 4-2-3-1 · DEN

7 Fall

📊 Statistics

RAA 0 – 1 DEN

54%

Possession (%)

46%

2.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.16

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Dender won 1–0 away at RAAL La Louvière. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.14 to 1.16. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 7, 4 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.07 units (Brier 0.279).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.80	—	63%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Home Win	1.93	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.84	—	58%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.95	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.97	—	41%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.18	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.30	—	37%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.25	—	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	82%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.40	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.38	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	88%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.18	—	16%	Cashed	+2.18	Cashed
Away Win	4.60	—	16%	Cashed	+3.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.90	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.07u	+12% ROI