Match Lausanne vs FC Winterthur April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.82 — +13.5% better than the market.

Lausanne holds a clear quality edge and a solid defensive setup that could stifle Winterthur's attack. Despite recent mixed form, Lausanne’s home momentum and superior defensive numbers suggest they can control the game pace.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
Lausanne’s home advantage with a compact block
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

Winterthur’s recent form shows resilience but their lower quality and away challenges may limit scoring chances. Expect a tactical battle with Lausanne likely to edge the result.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.82 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 55% +0.82u

+82%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LAU 4-3-3 · WIN 3-4-1-2

LAU · 4-3-3 3-4-1-2 · WIN

78 Janneh

📊 Statistics

LAU 2 – 1 WIN

53%

Possession (%)

47%

2.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.63

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lausanne beat FC Winterthur 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.19 to 1.63. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 11, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.31 units (Brier 0.092).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.82	—	62%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.95	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.50	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.44	—	71%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.13	—	91%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.10	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.15	—	71%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.42	—	58%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	51%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	92%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.13	—	75%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Away Win	8.04	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	5.55	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.31u	−37% ROI