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Home Greece Super League 1 Kifisia — Panserraikos

Match Kifisia vs Panserraikos April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats

Greece   /   Super League 1 Value pick inside
Kifisia
Kifisia
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
Panserraikos
Panserraikos
D L L D L Away · last 5
Referee Michail Matsoukas, Greece
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.81
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 63% · book 1.80
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.62
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.66 – 0.80
Δ +0.86
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.81 — +13.8% better than the market.

Kifisia holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting control over the match tempo. Their offensive strength outmatches Panserraikos' defense, while the visitors' attack faces a solid home backline. Despite Panserraikos' better recent form, Kifisia's home momentum and tactical solidity could limit goal-scoring chances.

  • Home side's attacking pressure vs away defense
  • Compact home defensive block
  • Recent form favors away but quality gap is wide

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.81 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 55% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

KIF 12 PAN
65%
Possession (%)
35%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.80
16
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
5
8
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
3
23
Fouls
14
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
5
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Panserraikos won 2–1 away at Kifisia. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.80. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 6, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.01 units (Brier 0.330).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.81 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.62 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.32 36% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.03 37% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.04 37% Cashed +1.04 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.40 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 83% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.17 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.22 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.86 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 82% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 62% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Away Win 5.75 12% Cashed +4.75 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.17 12% Cashed +3.17 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +3.01u +18% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
KIF – PAN @ 1.81
+13.8%
Edge
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