Match Grazer AK vs FC BW Linz April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.85 — +11.4% better than the market.

Grazer AK holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting a compact defensive setup at Merkur-Arena. Both sides show similar recent form, but the home side's sharper offensive edge against Linz's defense could tilt the balance. Expect a measured pace with a low-scoring outcome favored by the odds, highlighting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

Home's defensive solidity vs away's moderate attack
Close form trend with slight home momentum
Odds suggest a cautious, low-goal game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.85 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GRA 3-1-4-2 · LIN 5-3-2

GRA · 3-1-4-2 5-3-2 · LIN

25 Hofleitner

📊 Statistics

GRA 2 – 1 LIN

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

69%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Grazer AK beat FC BW Linz 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 80% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.56 to 0.69. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.45 units (Brier 0.181).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.85	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.65	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.44	—	49%	Cashed	+1.44	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.69	—	49%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.98	—	40%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.30	—	33%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.21	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.95	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	76%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	—	59%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Away Win	3.16	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.23	—	84%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	85%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.40	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.45u	−20% ROI