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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Union St. Gilloise — St. Truiden

Predictions by Market: Union St. Gilloise vs St. Truiden

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise
Home · last 5 L W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
St. Truiden
St. Truiden
W L D L W Away · last 5
Stade Joseph Marien · Brussels Referee Eric Lambrechts, Belgium

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GIL
62%
Best 1.61
Draw
23%
Best 3.89
Away Win · TRU
15%
Best 5.25
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
2.97
book 3.25 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (66%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 14.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 14.5%
Odds 3.77
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
GIL – TRU @ 3.25
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →