Match Antwerp vs Genk April 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.17 — +8.8% better than the market.

Genk holds a clear quality edge over Antwerp, reflected in their stronger overall profile and attacking potential. Antwerp's defensive struggles could be exploited by Genk's sharper offense, while home momentum is tempered by a recent mixed form. Expect a tactical battle where Genk's pressing and offensive efficiency might tip the scales.

Genk's offensive edge against Antwerp's defense
Home side's inconsistent recent results
Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.17 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 46% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ANT 3-5-2 · GEN 3-4-2-1

ANT · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · GEN

18 Janssen

📊 Statistics

ANT 1 – 2 GEN

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.03

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.87

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk won 2–1 away at Antwerp. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.87 to 1.03. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 3 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.49 units (Brier 0.130).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.29	—	51%	Cashed	+1.29	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.17	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.30	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	50%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	53%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.68	—	51%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.22	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.42	—	76%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.45	—	71%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.82	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.01	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	74%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	3.72	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.49u	−26% ROI