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Home World World Cup - Qualification Europe Slovakia — Kosovo

Match Slovakia vs Kosovo March 26, 2026 — Result and Stats

Slovakia
Slovakia
Home · last 5 L W W L L
Kick-off
Thu 26 Mar · 19:45
3:4
Full-time
Kosovo
Kosovo
W W D W L Away · last 5
Referee Espen Eskas, Norway
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.80
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 34% · book 2.70
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 25% · book 4.20
Total goals
7
3 · 4
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This looks like a much tighter game than a simple home-favorite label would suggest. Slovakia have the edge of playing at home and should enjoy longer spells of control, but Kosovo arrive in stronger recent shape and with enough defensive discipline to keep the match balanced for long stretches. Neither side profiles as a free-scoring team here, so the game points more toward tension and margins than a wide-open contest.

The most likely script is a competitive match with limited clear chances, where Slovakia try to impose themselves territorially and Kosovo look to stay compact and threaten in transitions. That keeps the home side slightly in front, but the draw and away-protection markets remain very live. Goal markets lean toward a controlled, lower-scoring game.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

SLO 34 SOV
57%
Possession (%)
43%
20
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
2
13
Shots Inside Box
6
7
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
16
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Kosovo won 4–3 away at Slovakia. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 9, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +1.10 units (Brier 0.326).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.80 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.70 34% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Away Win 4.20 25% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Draw 3.30 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.60 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.20 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.10 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.50 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.80 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.50 67% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.20 42% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.60 38% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
AH Home -1 3.30 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L +1.10u +7% ROI