Match FC Luzern vs Lausanne March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.74 — +10.5% better than the market.

FC Luzern hosts Lausanne in a clash where home momentum meets away resilience. Luzern's stronger overall quality and a mild home edge suggest they can control the game, especially with their offensive edge against Lausanne's defense. However, Lausanne's recent form and pressing threat keep the contest tight. Expect a moderately paced match with a compact block from the visitors and set-piece opportunities for the hosts.

Luzern's home strength and offensive edge
Lausanne's recent form upswing
Moderate tempo favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.74 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LUZ 4-2-3-1 · LAU 4-3-1-2

LUZ · 4-2-3-1 4-3-1-2 · LAU

19 Vasovic

📊 Statistics

LUZ 4 – 0 LAU

45%

Possession (%)

55%

2.34

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Luzern beat Lausanne 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.34 to 0.67. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 2.34 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.51 units (Brier 0.174).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.74	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.38	—	51%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.72	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.79	—	51%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.20	—	36%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.28	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	3.04	—	40%	Cashed	+2.04	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	75%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.48	—	58%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Away Win	3.03	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	—	80%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.51u	−15% ROI