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Home World UEFA Europa League Aston Villa — Lille

Predictions Aston Villa vs Lille March 19, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Thu 19 Mar · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Lille
Lille
W L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Davide Massa, Italy
Home Win · AST
48%
Best 1.67
Draw
28%
Best 3.90
VALUE
Away Win · LIL
24%
Best 5.00
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.23
book 3.40 · +5.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 31% · EV +5.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (69%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 48%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 28%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win Longshot value
Probability 24%
Odds 5.08
Show model details
Implied probability 19.7%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality High
Under 3.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 47%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 91%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 54%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 46%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Value pick
Probability 44%
Odds 3.79
Show model details
Implied probability 26.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 28%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 72%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 56%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
AST – LIL @ 3.40
+5.0%
Edge
Forecast →