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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › VfL Wolfsburg — FC St. Pauli

Match VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli January 14, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
Home · last 5 D L W D L
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 17:30
2:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Volkswagen Arena · Wolfsburg Referee Frank Willenborg, Germany
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 59% · book 1.90 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.14 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.06 ✗
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.67 – 0.89
Δ +0.78
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

VfL Wolfsburg holds a clear quality edge over FC St. Pauli, boosted by a solid home defensive record and a more potent attack. Wolfsburg’s recent home form shows signs of revival, while St. Pauli struggles to convert chances despite a compact defensive setup. The pace suggests a moderately open game, but Wolfsburg’s pressing and set-piece threat could tilt the balance.

  • Home momentum in defense and attack
  • St. Pauli’s resilience but limited offensive output
  • Moderate tempo favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

WOL 4-2-3-1 · PAU 3-4-1-2
WOL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · PAU 1 Grabara 26 Kumbedi 15 Jenz 4 Koulierakis 25 Zehnter 31 Gerhardt 27 Arnold 24 Eriksen ⚽ 10 Majer 39 Wimmer 17 Pejčinović ⚽ 22 Vasilj 25 Dźwigała 5 Wahl 3 Mets 11 Pyrka 6 Sands 8 Smith ⚽ 21 Ritzka 16 Fujita 26 Jones 28 Lage
Subs used · WOL
61' Amoura ↑ · Majer ↓
73' Fischer ↑ · Kumbedi ↓
73' Daghim ↑ · Wimmer ↓
83' Paredes ↑ · Zehnter ↓
83' Svanberg ↑ · Gerhardt ↓
Subs used · PAU
68' Oppie ↑ · Ritzka ↓
68' Kaars ↑ · Jones ↓
90' Ceesay ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 2 – 1 PAU
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.67
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.89
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
4
10
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
9
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 1
C. Eriksen (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
25'
40'
⚽
E. Smith
Assist · A. Dzwigala · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
53'
▮
Lars Ritzka
Yellow Card
Moritz Jenz
Yellow Card
▮
55'
M. Amoura ↓ · L. Majer ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
61'
68'
⇄
L. Oppie ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 1
68'
⇄
M. Kaars ↓ · R. Jones ↑
Substitution 2
K. Fischer ↓ · S. Kumbedi ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
A. Daghim ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
K. Paredes ↓ · A. Zehnter ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
M. Svanberg ↓ · Y. Gerhardt ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
84'
▮
Adam Dźwigała
Yellow Card
D. Pejcinovic
Assist · A. Daghim · 2–1
⚽
88'
90'
⇄
A. Ceesay ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 2 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.90 — 59% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.06 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.89 — 45% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.79 — 47% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.02 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 — 75% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.40 — 59% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.00 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.26 — 83% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.10 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.80 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 — 71% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.05 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.37 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.03u −30% ROI