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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga FC St. Pauli — RB Leipzig

Match FC St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig January 27, 2026

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Tue 27 Jan · 19:30
1:1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W W L W L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Florian Exner, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 58% · book 1.95
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.10
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.19
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.45 – 1.09
Δ +0.36
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

RB Leipzig enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, likely to challenge FC St. Pauli's compact defensive setup. Despite St. Pauli's home momentum, Leipzig's offensive threat and better recent form suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Leipzig's pressing and forward runs test St. Pauli's resilience.

  • Leipzig's attacking edge against St. Pauli's defense
  • Home side's recent mixed form and defensive solidity
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PAU 3-4-2-1 · LEI 4-3-3
Subs used · PAU
67' Kaars ↑ · Jones
76' Rasmussen ↑ · Fujita
76' Irvine ↑ · Sands
76' Pereira Lage ↑ · Sinani
88' Ceesay ↑ · Saliakas
Subs used · LEI
64' Harder ↑ · Cardoso
85' Banzuzi ↑ · Baumgartner
85' Gomis ↑ · Nusa
90+4' Henrichs ↑ · Diomande

📊 Statistics

PAU 11 LEI
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.09
7
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
5
3
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
8
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

12 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
49'
Christoph Baumgartner
Yellow Card
64'
C. Harder ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑
Substitution 1
66'
Y. Diomande
0–1
M. Kaars ↓ · R. Jones ↑
Substitution 1
67'
M. Rasmussen ↓ · J. Fujita ↑
Substitution 2
76'
J. Irvine ↓ · J. Sands ↑
Substitution 3
76'
M. Pereira Lage ↓ · D. Sinani ↑
Substitution 4
76'
85'
E. Banzuzi ↓ · C. Baumgartner ↑
Substitution 2
85'
T. Gomis ↓ · A. Nusa ↑
Substitution 3
A. Ceesay ↓ · M. Saliakas ↑
Substitution 5
88'
M. Kaars (P)
Penalty · 1–1
90'
90+4'
B. Henrichs ↓ · Y. Diomande ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.95 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 51% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.19 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.86 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.72 51% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.99 42% Cashed +0.99 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.41 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.20 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.27 83% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 72% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.30 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 74% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Draw 3.85 24% Cashed +2.85 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.13 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.20 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.32u −14% ROI