Match Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.99 — +14.4% better than the market.

Wolfsberger AC enters Merkur-Arena with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, despite Grazer AK's home comfort. The visitors' sharper attack faces a resilient but vulnerable home defense, suggesting Wolfsberger's pressing and pace could unlock chances. However, both sides have shown defensive solidity, hinting at a tactical battle with limited goals.

Wolfsberger's offensive edge against a less effective home defense
Grazer AK's home momentum but recent mixed results
Expectation of a cautious tempo favoring under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.99 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +0.99u

+99%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GRA 3-1-4-2 · WOL 3-4-2-1

GRA · 3-1-4-2 3-4-2-1 · WOL

22 Harakate

📊 Statistics

GRA 2 – 0 WOL

43%

Possession (%)

57%

2.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Grazer AK beat Wolfsberger AC 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.33 to 0.68. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.25 units (Brier 0.190).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.82	—	63%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
BTTS No	1.99	—	57%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
Away Win	2.72	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.92	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.72	—	29%	Cashed	+1.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.09	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.98	—	29%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.40	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	55%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	86%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.35	—	62%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.63	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.25u	−19% ROI