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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › SCR Altach — FC BW Linz

SCR Altach vs FC BW Linz 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
SCR Altach
SCR Altach
Home · last 5 D L L D W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 16:00
3:1
Full-time
FC BW Linz
FC BW Linz
W W L D L Away · last 5
Cashpoint Arena · Artach Referee Daniel Pfister, Austria
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 64% · book 1.76 ✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 45% · book 2.72 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 2.25 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
0.87 – 2.29
Δ −1.42
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.76 — +13.4% better than the market.

SCR Altach holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home momentum, having won three of their last five. Their defensive resilience contrasts with FC BW Linz's more vulnerable backline, suggesting a tactical advantage in controlling the game tempo. The matchup hints at a compact Altach block absorbing pressure while exploiting set-piece opportunities.

  • Home side's defensive solidity versus away's attacking threat
  • Altach's recent form shows upward momentum
  • Likely moderate pace with cautious buildup

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.76 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 57% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ALT 3 – 1 LIN
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.87
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.29
9
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
7
3
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
3
16
Fouls
11
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

SCR Altach beat FC BW Linz 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.29 to 0.87. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 7 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.87 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.06 units (Brier 0.284).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.76 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.72 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.25 — 52% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.10 — 36% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.46 — 29% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.48 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.57 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 7.50 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.20 — 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 — 79% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.58 — 52% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.47 — 55% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Draw 3.25 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 77% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Away Win 3.54 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.65 — 12% Cashed +3.65 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.06u −0% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
ALT – LIN @ 1.76
+13.4%
Edge
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