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Home › Denmark › Superliga › FC Midtjylland — FC Nordsjaelland

FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 W D D D L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
D L D D W Away · last 5
MCH Arena · Herning Referee Jonas Hansen, Denmark
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.83 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.50 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.11 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.73 – 0.31
Δ +0.42
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 6.75 — +13.8% better than the market.

FC Midtjylland arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid offensive edge against Nordsjaelland's defense. Their recent unbeaten run contrasts with the visitors' mixed form, suggesting a tactical upper hand. The home side's compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Nordsjaelland's defensive vulnerabilities, while the moderate pace implied by odds hints at a controlled, strategic encounter.

  • Home attacking pressure vs away defensive gaps
  • Superior recent form and confidence
  • Likely tactical discipline in midfield

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 6.75 ✓ Cashed
AI 17% Implied 15% +5.75u
+575%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MID 0 – 1 NOR
60%
Possession (%)
40%
0.73
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.31
8
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
3
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
13
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
68%
4
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

FC Nordsjaelland won 1–0 away at FC Midtjylland. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +12.47 units (Brier 0.415).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.83 — 59% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS No 2.50 — 42% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.11 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.05 — 37% Cashed +2.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.47 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.75 — 17% Cashed +5.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.14 — 89% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.44 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.56 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.81 — 31% Cashed +1.81 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.22 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 21.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.93 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 — 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.50 — 11% Cashed +5.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 5.00 — 11% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +12.47u +73% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
MID – NOR @ 6.75
+13.8%
Edge
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