1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln 2:2

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.14 — +9.8% better than the market.

1. FC Heidenheim faces a tough challenge against 1.FC Köln, who hold a clear quality edge and stronger recent form despite both teams struggling for consistency. Köln's offensive edge against Heidenheim's defense suggests they can break through, while Heidenheim's home momentum and compact block may limit damage. Expect a tactical battle with moderate chances as both sides look to exploit set-piece opportunities.

Köln's attacking threat vs Heidenheim's defense
Home side's recent wins boosting confidence
Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.14 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

HEI 4-3-2-1 · KOL 3-4-3

HEI · 4-3-2-1 3-4-3 · KOL

18 Pieringer ⚽

Subs used · HEI

60'

Honsak ↑ ·

Ibrahimovic ↓

60'

Beck ↑ ·

Schoppner ↓

78'

Busch ↑ ·

H. Traore ↓

78'

Schimmer ↑ ·

Pieringer ↓

83'

Kaufmann ↑ ·

Conteh ↓

Subs used · KOL

46'

El Mala ↑ ·

Huseinbasic ↓

62'

Maina ↑ ·

Schenten ↓

75'

Lund ↑ ·

Castro-Montes ↓

75'

Bulter ↑ ·

Thielmann ↓

90+2'

Niang ↑ ·

Ache ↓

Statistics

HEI 2 – 2 KOL

55%

Possession (%)

45%

1.93

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 2 – 2

M. Pieringer

Assist · J. Schoppner · 1–0

⚽

15'

18'

⚽

E. Martel

Assist · A. Castro-Montes · 1–1

21'

▮

Eric Martel

Yellow Card

J. Niehues

2–1

⚽

26'

Arijon Ibrahimović

Yellow Card

▮

44'

Half-time · 2 – 1

46'

⇄

S. El Mala ↓ · D. Huseinbasic ↑

Substitution 1

48'

⚽

S. El Mala

Assist · A. Castro-Montes · 2–2

Jonas Föhrenbach

Yellow Card

▮

52'

M. Honsak ↓ · A. Ibrahimovic ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

A. Beck ↓ · J. Schoppner ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

62'

⇄

L. Maina ↓ · F. Schenten ↑

Substitution 2

75'

⇄

K. Lund ↓ · A. Castro-Montes ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

M. Bulter ↓ · J. Thielmann ↑

Substitution 4

M. Busch ↓ · O. H. Traore ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

S. Schimmer ↓ · M. Pieringer ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

M. Kaufmann ↓ · S. Conteh ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

90+2'

⇄

Y. Niang ↓ · R. Ache ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

1. FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Köln drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.49 to 1.93. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 14, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Pieringer (15'), E. Martel (18'), J. Niehues (26'), S. El Mala (48').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.51 units (Brier 0.214).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.43	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.14	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.34	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.83	—	49%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.78	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.63	—	53%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.64	—	50%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.20	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	—	75%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	27%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Home Win	3.04	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.70	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.64	—	26%	Cashed	+2.64	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	74%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.51u	−9% ROI

1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Köln 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled