Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund 3:3

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 5.20 — +2.1% better than the market.

Eintracht Frankfurt hosts Borussia Dortmund in a tightly matched Bundesliga clash. Dortmund holds a slight quality edge, but Frankfurt’s home momentum and better recent form suggest a competitive battle. Frankfurt’s offense faces a tough Dortmund defense, while Dortmund’s attack may find space against Frankfurt’s backline. Expect a balanced tempo with chances on both ends, leaning towards a tactical, closely fought game.

Frankfurt’s home edge in recent form
Dortmund’s defensive solidity
Balanced attacking matchups

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 5.20 ✗ Lost

AI 20% Implied 19% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

EIN 3-4-2-1 · DOR 3-4-2-1

EIN · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · DOR

11 Ebnoutalib ⚽

Subs used · EIN

63'

Kalimuendo ↑ ·

Y. Uzun ↓

77'

Dahoud ↑ ·

Hojlund ↓

77'

Gotze ↑ ·

Knauff ↓

83'

Collins ↑ ·

Theate ↓

Subs used · DOR

66'

Silva ↑ ·

Guirassy ↓

76'

Can ↑ ·

Sule ↓

76'

Adeyemi ↑ ·

Beier ↓

87'

Chukwuemeka ↑ ·

Brandt ↓

Statistics

EIN 3 – 3 DOR

40%

Possession (%)

60%

1.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.38

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

20 · 3 – 3

10'

⚽

M. Beier

Assist · J. Ryerson · 0–1

C. Y. Uzun (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

22'

29'

▮

Waldemar Anton

Yellow Card

41'

▮

Niklas Süle

Yellow Card

Arthur Theate

Yellow Card

▮

43'

Half-time · 1 – 1

A. Kalimuendo ↓ · C. Y. Uzun ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

66'

⇄

F. Silva ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑

Substitution 1

Nathaniel Brown

Yellow Card

▮

67'

68'

⚽

F. Nmecha

1–2

Y. Ebnoutalib

Assist · A. Kalimuendo · 2–2

⚽

71'

76'

⇄

E. Can ↓ · N. Sule ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

K. Adeyemi ↓ · M. Beier ↑

Substitution 3

M. Dahoud ↓ · O. Hojlund ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

M. Gotze ↓ · A. Knauff ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

Arnaud Kalimuendo

Yellow Card

▮

82'

N. Collins ↓ · A. Theate ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

87'

▮

Emre Can

Yellow Card

87'

⇄

C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · J. Brandt ↑

Substitution 4

M. Dahoud

3–2

⚽

90'

⚽

C. Chukwuemeka

3–3

Full-time · 3 – 3

Match recap

Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia Dortmund drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.38 to 1.83. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 12, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Beier (10'), C. Y. Uzun (22'), F. Nmecha (68'), Y. Ebnoutalib (71'), M. Dahoud (90'), C. Chukwuemeka (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.94 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.57	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.14	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.40	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	58%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	53%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	36%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.55	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.57	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	—	71%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.54	—	60%	Cashed	+0.54	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.57	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.20	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.43	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Cashed	+2.90	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.94u	−11% ROI

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled