Match FC Sion vs FC Winterthur March 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.72 — +12.2% better than the market.

FC Sion holds a clear quality edge over FC Winterthur, backed by stronger form and a solid home defensive setup. Their recent home momentum and higher attacking potential against Winterthur's leaky defense suggest control in this matchup. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but Sion's compact block and set-piece threat could limit Winterthur's chances.

Home side's defensive solidity vs away's modest attack
Recent form favors Sion with better points per game
Moderate tempo likely, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.72 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 58% +0.72u

+72%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SIO 4-2-3-1 · WIN 3-1-4-2

SIO · 4-2-3-1 3-1-4-2 · WIN

33 Nivokazi

📊 Statistics

SIO 1 – 1 WIN

68%

Possession (%)

32%

1.57

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.69

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Sion and FC Winterthur drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.57 to 0.69. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 11, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.18 units (Brier 0.242).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.00	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.72	—	65%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.83	—	42%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.12	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	20.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.88	—	43%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	93%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.30	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.45	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.04	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.80	—	17%	Cashed	+4.80	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	89%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.14	—	74%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Away Win	9.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.18u	+13% ROI