Match FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers March 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.68 — +12.7% better than the market.

FC Basel 1893 hosts Grasshoppers in a tight Super League clash at St. Jakob-Park. Despite Basel's defensive struggles, their home edge and recent momentum slightly favor them. Grasshoppers show a quality advantage and a more balanced form, suggesting a competitive match with tactical battles in midfield and defense.

Basel's home defensive resilience tested by Grasshoppers' steady attack
Close quality gap hints at a balanced contest
Moderate pace expected with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.68 ✓ Cashed

AI 67% Implied 60% +0.68u

+68%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BAS 4-1-4-1 · GRA 4-3-1-2

BAS · 4-1-4-1 4-3-1-2 · GRA

37 Koloto

📊 Statistics

BAS 1 – 0 GRA

51%

Possession (%)

49%

0.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.89

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Basel 1893 beat Grasshoppers 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 11, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.40 units (Brier 0.207).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.68	—	67%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.65	—	46%	Cashed	+1.65	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.45	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.40	—	45%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
Home Win	1.65	—	52%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.32	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	23%	Cashed	+4.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	74%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.56	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.53	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	18.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.76	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.40	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.17	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.28	—	52%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.40u	+2% ROI