P
Prognosist
P
Home Switzerland Super League FC Lugano — FC Sion

Predictions FC Lugano vs FC Sion March 4, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Wed 04 Mar · 19:30
2:1
Full-time
FC Sion
FC Sion
W W W D D Away · last 5
Stadio di Cornaredo · Lugano Referee Fedayi San, Switzerland
Home Win · LUG
40%
Best 2.10
Draw
24%
Best 3.44
Away Win · SIO
36%
Best 3.37
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.75
Fair odds
1.67
book 1.75 · +5.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 60% · EV +5.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 35.6%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.67
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.7%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.3%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 32.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.2%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.03
Show model details
Implied probability 33%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 67.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.7%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 40%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 60%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.