Match Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg January 11, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.16 — +11.6% better than the market.

Borussia Mönchengladbach hosts FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash where the quality gap is minimal, suggesting a tight contest. Gladbach’s defensive solidity contrasts with Augsburg’s slightly better offensive edge, hinting at a tactical battle. Recent form favors Augsburg slightly, but Gladbach’s home momentum and compact block could limit chances. Expect a moderate pace game with a leaning towards a low-scoring affair given the balanced defensive and offensive matchups.

Home defensive resilience vs away attacking pressure
Close quality levels suggest tactical discipline
Form trends hint at a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.16 ✓ Cashed

AI 52% Implied 46% +1.16u

+116%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MOE 3-4-2-1 · AUG 3-4-2-1

MOE · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · AUG

15 Tabaković ⚽

Subs used · MOE

62'

Mohya ↑ ·

Honorat ↓

72'

Takai ↑ ·

Sander ↓

72'

Castrop ↑ ·

Neuhaus ↓

72'

Machino ↑ ·

Tabakovic ↓

85'

Reyna ↑ ·

Scally ↓

Subs used · AUG

46'

Essende ↑ ·

Rieder ↓

62'

Gharbi ↑ ·

Kade ↓

62'

Wolf ↑ ·

Pedersen ↓

69'

Jakic ↑ ·

Komur ↓

85'

Gregoritsch ↑ ·

Claude-Maurice ↓

📊 Statistics

MOE 4 – 0 AUG

52%

Possession (%)

48%

3.14

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.88

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 4 – 0

J. Scally

Assist · L. Netz · 1–0

⚽

K. Diks (P)

Penalty · 2–0

⚽

20'

H. Tabakovic

Assist · L. Netz · 3–0

⚽

36'

Half-time · 3 – 0

46'

⇄

S. Essende ↓ · F. Rieder ↑

Substitution 1

54'

▮

Han-Noah Massengo

Yellow Card

H. Tabakovic

Assist · F. Honorat · 4–0

⚽

61'

W. Mohya ↓ · F. Honorat ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

62'

⇄

I. Gharbi ↓ · A. Kade ↑

Substitution 2

62'

⇄

M. Wolf ↓ · M. Pedersen ↑

Substitution 3

69'

⇄

K. Jakic ↓ · M. Komur ↑

Substitution 4

K. Takai ↓ · P. Sander ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

J. Castrop ↓ · F. Neuhaus ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

S. Machino ↓ · H. Tabakovic ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

G. Reyna ↓ · J. Scally ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

⇄

M. Gregoritsch ↓ · A. Claude-Maurice ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat FC Augsburg 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.14 to 1.88. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 2 on target.

On the scoresheet: J. Scally (8'), K. Diks (20'), H. Tabakovic (36'), H. Tabakovic (61').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.212).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.08	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.16	—	52%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.96	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.95	—	47%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.87	—	44%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.20	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.16	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	71%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.02	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.04	—	24%	Cashed	+2.04	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.43	—	47%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.27	—	70%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.95u	−17% ROI