P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Borussia Mönchengladbach — FC Augsburg

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 14:30
4:0
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W D W W L Away · last 5
Borussia-Park · Monchengladbach Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 2.08 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.16 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 1.96 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
3.14 – 1.88
Δ +1.26
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.16 — +11.6% better than the market.

Borussia Mönchengladbach hosts FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash where the quality gap is minimal, suggesting a tight contest. Gladbach’s defensive solidity contrasts with Augsburg’s slightly better offensive edge, hinting at a tactical battle. Recent form favors Augsburg slightly, but Gladbach’s home momentum and compact block could limit chances. Expect a moderate pace game with a leaning towards a low-scoring affair given the balanced defensive and offensive matchups.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away attacking pressure
  • Close quality levels suggest tactical discipline
  • Form trends hint at a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.16 ✓ Cashed
AI 52% Implied 46% +1.16u
+116%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MOE 3-4-2-1 · AUG 3-4-2-1
MOE · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · AUG 33 Nicolas 16 Sander 30 Elvedi 4 Diks ⚽ 29 Scally ⚽ 27 Reitz 6 Engelhardt 20 Netz 9 Honorat 10 Neuhaus 15 Tabaković ⚽ 1 Dahmen 40 Banks 31 Schlotterbeck 16 Zesiger 19 Fellhauer 36 Kömür 4 Massengo 3 Pedersen 32 Rieder 20 Claude-Maurice 30 Kade
Subs used · MOE
62' Mohya ↑ · Honorat ↓
72' Takai ↑ · Sander ↓
72' Castrop ↑ · Neuhaus ↓
72' Machino ↑ · Tabakovic ↓
85' Reyna ↑ · Scally ↓
Subs used · AUG
46' Essende ↑ · Rieder ↓
62' Gharbi ↑ · Kade ↓
62' Wolf ↑ · Pedersen ↓
69' Jakic ↑ · Komur ↓
85' Gregoritsch ↑ · Claude-Maurice ↓

Statistics

MOE 4 – 0 AUG
52%
Possession (%)
48%
3.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.88
12
Total Shots
17
7
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
12
9
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
9
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 4 – 0
J. Scally
Assist · L. Netz · 1–0
⚽
8'
K. Diks (P)
Penalty · 2–0
⚽
20'
H. Tabakovic
Assist · L. Netz · 3–0
⚽
36'
Half-time · 3 – 0
46'
⇄
S. Essende ↓ · F. Rieder ↑
Substitution 1
54'
▮
Han-Noah Massengo
Yellow Card
H. Tabakovic
Assist · F. Honorat · 4–0
⚽
61'
W. Mohya ↓ · F. Honorat ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
62'
62'
⇄
I. Gharbi ↓ · A. Kade ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
M. Wolf ↓ · M. Pedersen ↑
Substitution 3
69'
⇄
K. Jakic ↓ · M. Komur ↑
Substitution 4
K. Takai ↓ · P. Sander ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
J. Castrop ↓ · F. Neuhaus ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
S. Machino ↓ · H. Tabakovic ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
G. Reyna ↓ · J. Scally ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
M. Gregoritsch ↓ · A. Claude-Maurice ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat FC Augsburg 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.14 to 1.88. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 2 on target.

On the scoresheet: J. Scally (8'), K. Diks (20'), H. Tabakovic (36'), H. Tabakovic (61').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.212).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.08 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.16 — 52% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.96 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.95 — 47% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.87 — 44% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.42 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.10 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.20 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.16 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.28 — 71% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.02 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.04 — 24% Cashed +2.04 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.43 — 47% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 — 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.85 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 — 70% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.95u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MOE – AUG @ 2.16
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →