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Home › Switzerland › Super League › Lausanne — FC Basel 1893

Lausanne vs FC Basel 1893 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
Lausanne
Lausanne
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
L W L L L Away · last 5
Stade de la Tuiliere · Lausanne Referee Anojen Kanagasingam, Switzerland
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 42% · book 2.78 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.55 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.69 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.46 – 1.05
Δ −0.59
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 5.50 — +13.1% better than the market.

Lausanne hosts FC Basel 1893 in a Super League clash where Basel holds a slight quality edge and better recent form. Lausanne’s defensive solidity at home contrasts with Basel’s sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle. The home side’s pressing and compact block could limit Basel’s chances, but Basel’s ability to exploit set-pieces and maintain attacking pressure may tilt the balance.

  • Basel’s marginally superior form and quality
  • Lausanne’s home defensive resilience
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 5.50 ✗ Lost
AI 21% Implied 18% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LAU 1 – 2 BAS
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.05
10
Total Shots
13
2
Shots on Target
6
6
Shots off Target
3
4
Shots Inside Box
9
3
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
8
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
0
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

FC Basel 1893 won 2–1 away at Lausanne. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.05 to 0.46. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.72 units (Brier 0.146).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.78 — 42% Cashed +1.78 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.55 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.69 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.60 — 66% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.63 — 64% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.08 — 42% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Home Win 2.48 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.30 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.84 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.47 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.54 — 57% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.45 — 60% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 — 79% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Draw 3.75 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.72u −22% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
LAU – BAS @ 5.50
+13.1%
Edge
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