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Prognosist
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Home Switzerland Super League FC ST. Gallen — FC Winterthur

Match FC ST. Gallen vs FC Winterthur February 28, 2026 — Result and Stats

FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
Home · last 5 W L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 28 Feb · 17:00
2:1
Full-time
FC Winterthur
FC Winterthur
L D W L L Away · last 5
kybunpark · St. Gallen Referee Desiree Grundbacher, Switzerland
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 62% · book 1.87
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.30
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 48% · book 1.66
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
3.77 – 1.47
Δ +2.30
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC ST. Gallen arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a significant quality edge over Winterthur. Their attacking prowess matches well against Winterthur's defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting control in the final third. Winterthur's recent form and defensive frailties may invite pressure, while the home side's compact block and set-piece threat could prove decisive.

  • Home attacking edge vs away defense
  • Superior recent form and home confidence
  • Likely moderate tempo with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

GAL 21 WIN
64%
Possession (%)
36%
3.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.47
19
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
3
14
Shots Inside Box
6
10
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
15
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
60%
1
Yellow Cards
6
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

FC ST. Gallen beat FC Winterthur 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.77 to 1.47. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.41 units (Brier 0.100).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.87 62% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS No 2.30 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.66 48% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.05 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.10 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.50 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Home Win 1.34 75% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.13 75% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Draw 6.00 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.12 76% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.37 59% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Away Win 8.50 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.05 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −5.41u −36% ROI