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Home World UEFA Europa League Ferencvarosi TC — Ludogorets

Match Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets February 26, 2026 — Result and Stats

Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Thu 26 Feb · 17:45
2:0
Full-time
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
D L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 48% · book 1.70
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 32% · book 4.10
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 30% · book 4.20
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.77 – 0.98
Δ +0.79
Possession
40% – 60%
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets prediction
Ferencvaros get the edge at home, but the game feels closer than the price. Ludogorets arrive in better recent form and can stay dangerous on counters, while Ferencvaros have been less consistent and may need to manage the game carefully rather than go all-in early. The draw is a real threat, and the away side have a credible route to taking something if they keep their shape and pick moments to break.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

FER 20 LUD
40%
Possession (%)
60%
1.77
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.98
16
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
9
12
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
14
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
5
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Ferencvarosi TC beat Ludogorets 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.77 to 0.98. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 9 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net -2.90 units (Brier 0.136).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 8 W · 7 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.70 48% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.10 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.20 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.60 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 54% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 52% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 72% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.90 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.80 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.30 74% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 92% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.30 68% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 78% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.40 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 7 L −2.90u −19% ROI