FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 4:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.68 — +11.4% better than the market.

FC Luzern hosts FC Basel 1893 in a tightly matched Super League clash at Swissporarena. Luzern enjoys a mild home edge with a compact defense, but Basel's sharper attack and recent form suggest they can challenge effectively. Both sides have shown resilience, with Basel's pressing and counter-attack potential contrasting Luzern's structured buildup. Expect a balanced tempo with moderate scoring chances given the solid defensive setups.

Luzern's home solidity vs Basel's offensive edge
Recent form favors Basel's sharper transitions
Moderate pace hints at a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.68 ✗ Lost

AI 66% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LUZ 4-3-1-2 · BAS 4-2-3-1

LUZ · 4-3-1-2 4-2-3-1 · BAS

16 Kabwit

Statistics

LUZ 4 – 2 BAS

44%

Possession (%)

56%

2.80

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.20

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Luzern beat FC Basel 1893 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.80 to 2.20. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 12, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.59 units (Brier 0.200).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.68	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.63	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.60	—	38%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Away Win	2.60	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.21	—	34%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.98	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.92	—	38%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS No	2.89	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.55	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.53	—	63%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.57	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.45	—	58%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.50	—	55%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.17	—	77%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.59u	−21% ROI

FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 4:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled