Match Ludogorets vs Ferencvarosi TC February 19, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 19 Feb · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Referee Tobias Stieler, Germany
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.89
✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 36% · book 2.83
✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.06
✓
xG (open play)
0.46 – 1.45
Δ −0.99
AI accuracy
8 / 14
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
This looks like a tight, competitive tie. Ludogorets should have stretches of control at home, but Ferencvarosi arrive in the better recent rhythm and look more reliable at managing game states away from home. Both sides create chances, yet neither feels built to dominate for 90 minutes here, so the match profile leans toward a close scoreline with the draw firmly in play and a slightly stronger away side in the biggest moments.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
LUD 4-2-3-1 · FER 3-5-2
📊 Statistics
LUD 2
– 1 FER
0.46
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.45
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
Match recap
Ludogorets beat Ferencvarosi TC 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.45 to 0.46. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 4 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.46 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.11 units (Brier 0.204).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
14 · 8 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.89 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.83 |
— |
36% |
Cashed |
+1.83 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.06 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.06 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.07 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.07 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.33 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.33 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.40 |
— |
29% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.72 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
2.10 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.76 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+0.76 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.32 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.32 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.52 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.52 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.49 |
— |
64% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.00 |
— |
36% |
Cashed |
+1.00 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.94 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 14 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 6 L |
−0.11u |
−1% ROI |
