This looks like a tight, competitive tie. Ludogorets should have stretches of control at home, but Ferencvarosi arrive in the better recent rhythm and look more reliable at managing game states away from home. Both sides create chances, yet neither feels built to dominate for 90 minutes here, so the match profile leans toward a close scoreline with the draw firmly in play and a slightly stronger away side in the biggest moments.
Ludogorets beat Ferencvarosi TC 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.45 to 0.46. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 4 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.46 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.11 units (Brier 0.204).
