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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › 1. FC Heidenheim — Bayern München

Predictions by Market: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Bayern München

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 16:30
0:4
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HEI
4%
Best 15.00
Draw
12%
Best 8.50
Away Win · BAY
84%
Best 1.16
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 6.59
Fair odds
6.20
book 6.59 · +6.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +6.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance X2 is more likely (96%), but Double Chance 1X is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 12%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 4.1%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 91.9%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 20.7%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 8.1%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 83.9%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 4.1%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 16.1%
Odds 6.59
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
HEI – BAY @ 6.59
+6.3%
Edge
Forecast →