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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — Bayer Leverkusen

Predictions by Market: RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 17:30
1:3
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Referee Benjamin Brand, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEI
38%
Best 2.16
Draw
24%
Best 3.70
Away Win · BAY
38%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.13
book 2.38 · +11.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +11.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (53%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 14.6%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 33.4%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 37.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LEI – BAY @ 2.38
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →