P
Prognosist
P
Home Germany Germany Bundesliga RB Leipzig — Bayer Leverkusen

Predictions RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen December 20, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 17:30
1:3
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Referee Benjamin Brand, Germany
Home Win · LEI
38%
Best 2.16
Draw
24%
Best 3.70
Away Win · BAY
38%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.13
book 2.38 · +11.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +11.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (53%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 37.8%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 46.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 53.1%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 85.4%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 14.6%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 33.4%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 37.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 62%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LEI – BAY @ 2.38
+11.6%
Edge
Forecast →