Netherlands beat Lithuania 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 21 graded markets, 10 landed and 11 missed, for a net -8.87 units (Brier 0.045).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 2.35 | — | 45% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 17.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away 0 | 23.00 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 13.00 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 4.20 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 1.10 | — | 88% | Cashed | +0.10 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.57 | — | 72% | Cashed | +0.57 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 46.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.08 | — | 93% | Cashed | +0.08 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.01 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.01 | — | 99% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.26 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.26 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 3.21 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 1.70 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.70 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.01 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| AH Home -1 | 1.09 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.09 | Cashed |
| AH Home -2 | 1.30 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.30 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 10.00 | — | 7% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 34.00 | — | 2% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -1 | 5.40 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Away -2 | 3.70 | — | 7% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 21 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 10 W · 11 L | −8.87u | −42% ROI |