Netherlands vs Lithuania 4:0: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Mon 17 Nov · 19:45
4:0
Full-time
Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.35
✗
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 8% · book 17.00
✗
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 8% · book 23.00
✗
AI accuracy
10 / 21
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS No at 1.57 — +10.0% better than the market.
Netherlands should dominate territory and chance volume. Lithuania will likely sit deep and fight on set-plays; if the hosts stay patient, the scoreline can stretch after the break.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.57
✓ Cashed
AI 72%
Implied 64%
+0.57u
📊 Statistics
NED 4
– 0 LIT
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
Match recap
Netherlands beat Lithuania 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 21 graded markets, 10 landed and 11 missed, for a net -8.87 units (Brier 0.045).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
21 · 10 W · 11 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 3.5 |
2.35 |
— |
45% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
17.00 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
23.00 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
13.00 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
4.20 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.10 |
— |
88% |
Cashed |
+0.10 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
1.57 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
46.00 |
— |
4% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.08 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.08 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.01 |
— |
96% |
Cashed |
+0.01 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.01 |
— |
99% |
Cashed |
+0.01 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.26 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.26 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
3.21 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
1.70 |
— |
55% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.01 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.01 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -1 |
1.09 |
— |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.09 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home -2 |
1.30 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
10.00 |
— |
7% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
34.00 |
— |
2% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away -1 |
5.40 |
— |
12% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away -2 |
3.70 |
— |
7% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 21 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
10 W · 11 L |
−8.87u |
−42% ROI |
