Poland won 3–2 away at Malta. At half-time it was 1–1.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 9 landed and 10 missed, for a net -4.63 units (Brier 0.136).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AH Home +2 | 1.58 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.58 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 | — | 56% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.67 | — | 61% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.06 | — | 92% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 3.80 | — | 26% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 1.33 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.33 | Cashed |
| Draw | 5.75 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 12.50 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home +1 | 3.00 | — | 32% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.44 | — | 69% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.17 | — | 44% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 | — | 23% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 | — | 77% | Cashed | +0.25 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 | — | 94% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.34 | — | 39% | Cashed | +1.34 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 14.50 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 3.5 | 2.90 | — | 31% | Cashed | +1.90 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 1.06 | — | 74% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 6.50 | — | 8% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 9 W · 10 L | −4.63u | −24% ROI |