Northern Ireland beat Luxembourg 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 79% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 8 landed and 11 missed, for a net -5.61 units (Brier 0.138).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 1.65 | — | 57% | Cashed | +0.65 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.75 | — | 59% | Cashed | +0.75 | Cashed |
| Draw | 4.05 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 7.00 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 2.21 | — | 41% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.08 | — | 89% | Cashed | +0.08 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 9.10 | — | 11% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.36 | — | 68% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 3.40 | — | 32% | Cashed | +2.40 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 2.13 | — | 42% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 1.84 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.84 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 3.80 | — | 24% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.30 | — | 76% | Cashed | +0.30 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.16 | — | 82% | Cashed | +0.16 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 2.47 | — | 43% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.21 | — | 57% | Cashed | +0.21 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 4.58 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -1 | 2.11 | — | 34% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -2 | 4.67 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 11 L | −5.61u | −30% ROI |