Wales won 1–0 away at Liechtenstein. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 3, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 8 landed and 6 missed, for a net +6.13 units (Brier 0.209).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.60 | — | 56% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 106.00 | — | 2% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 11.00 | — | 12% | Cashed | +10.00 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 1.04 | — | 93% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 2.62 | — | 44% | Cashed | +1.62 | Cashed |
| AH Away +1 | 1.06 | — | 94% | Cashed | +0.06 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.01 | — | 98% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.07 | — | 92% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.01 | — | 97% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| AH Away +2 | 1.14 | — | 86% | Cashed | +0.14 | Cashed |
| BTTS No | 1.25 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.25 | Cashed |
| Draw | 29.00 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.23 | — | 76% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 20.00 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 14 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 6 L | +6.13u | +44% ROI |
