Türkiye beat Bulgaria 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 6. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.27 units (Brier 0.103).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 1.91 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.91 | Cashed |
| Home Win | 1.08 | — | 89% | Cashed | +0.08 | Cashed |
| Draw | 12.00 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.02 | — | 90% | Cashed | +0.02 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 8.78 | — | 25% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 2.90 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 1.46 | — | 60% | Cashed | +0.46 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.03 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 23.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.13 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.13 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 7.00 | — | 15% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.40 | — | 62% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 | — | 38% | Cashed | +2.10 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.04 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 36.00 | — | 5% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 7 W · 8 L | −4.27u | −28% ROI |
