Montenegro won 2–1 away at Gibraltar. At half-time it was 1–2.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 79% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 2, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 8 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.42 units (Brier 0.111).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 1.57 | — | 68% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.80 | — | 22% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.27 | — | 46% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 1.25 | — | 82% | Cashed | +0.25 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 | — | 68% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.05 | — | 94% | Cashed | +0.05 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.24 | — | 78% | Cashed | +0.24 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 4.67 | — | 18% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 16.00 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.76 | — | 54% | Cashed | +0.76 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.88 | — | 32% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS Yes | 2.70 | — | 32% | Cashed | +1.70 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 1.04 | — | 82% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Draw | 7.00 | — | 12% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 17.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 16 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 8 W · 8 L | −4.42u | −28% ROI |
