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Home › World › World Cup - Qualification Europe › Gibraltar — Montenegro

Gibraltar vs Montenegro 1:2: Match Review & Stats

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Gibraltar
Gibraltar
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 14 Nov · 19:45
1:2
Full-time
Montenegro
Montenegro
L L L W L Away · last 5
Referee Anastasios Papapetrou, Greece
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 68% · book 1.57 ✗
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 22% · book 4.80 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 46% · book 2.27 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
8 / 16
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.57 — +7.0% better than the market.

Montenegro should control territory and chance quality against a Gibraltar side that struggles to create. Expect sustained away pressure, an early breakthrough, and a low-to-medium scoring game tilted toward the visitors.
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.57 ✗ Lost
AI 68% Implied 64% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GIB 1 – 2 MON
35%
Possession (%)
65%
2
Total Shots
22
1
Shots on Target
8
1
Shots off Target
10
1
Shots Inside Box
17
1
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
14
57%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

Montenegro won 2–1 away at Gibraltar. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 79% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 2, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 8 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.42 units (Brier 0.111).

Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 8 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.57 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.80 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.27 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.25 — 82% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 68% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.05 — 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 — 78% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 4.67 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 16.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 — 54% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.70 — 32% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.04 — 82% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 7.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 8 L −4.42u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GIB – MON @ 1.57
+7.0%
Edge
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