Malta won 1–0 away at Finland. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 4, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.
Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net +15.31 units (Brier 0.349).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 1.26 | — | 75% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 1.55 | — | 66% | Cashed | +0.55 | Cashed |
| Draw | 6.50 | — | 17% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 16.00 | — | 8% | Cashed | +15.00 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.55 | — | 34% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Under 0.5 | 14.90 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 1.5 | 1.23 | — | 78% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 1.5 | 4.50 | — | 22% | Cashed | +3.50 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.74 | — | 52% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.27 | — | 48% | Cashed | +1.27 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.75 | — | 30% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 | — | 70% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.05 | — | 92% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance X2 | 4.45 | — | 25% | Cashed | +3.45 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.04 | — | 75% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 16 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 7 W · 9 L | +15.31u | +96% ROI |
