Rep. Of Ireland beat Portugal 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 77% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.66 to 1.17. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 14, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 18 graded markets, 9 landed and 9 missed, for a net +26.05 units (Brier 0.352).
| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 1.80 | — | 61% | Cashed | +0.80 | Cashed |
| Away Win | 1.39 | — | 74% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 1.72 | — | 58% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home -1 | 17.00 | — | 6% | Cashed | +16.00 | Cashed |
| Double Chance X2 | 1.10 | — | 91% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 | — | 96% | Cashed | +0.04 | Cashed |
| Over 1.5 | 1.23 | — | 80% | Cashed | +0.23 | Cashed |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.06 | — | 39% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 2.5 | 2.30 | — | 42% | Cashed | +1.30 | Cashed |
| Over 3.5 | 2.70 | — | 35% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 9.55 | — | 9% | Cashed | +8.55 | Cashed |
| Draw | 5.30 | — | 17% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 3.38 | — | 26% | Cashed | +2.38 | Cashed |
| AH Away 0 | 1.12 | — | 74% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 6.25 | — | 9% | Cashed | +5.25 | Cashed |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 | — | 20% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Under 0.5 | 15.00 | — | 4% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 18 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 9 W · 9 L | +26.05u | +145% ROI |
