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Home › World › World Cup - Qualification Europe › France — Ukraine

Predictions by Market: France vs Ukraine

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Thu 13 Nov · 19:45
4:0
Full-time
Ukraine
Ukraine
W W L W L Away · last 5
Referee Slavko Vinčić, Slovenia

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRA
76%
Best 1.20
Draw
15%
Best 6.57
VALUE
Away Win · UKR
9%
Best 14.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.00
Fair odds
6.67
book 7.00 · +5.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 15% · EV +5.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (76%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Longshot value
Probability 9%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.6%
Bet quality High
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 40%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 97%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 62%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 38%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 4 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Longshot value
Probability 9%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 76%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality High
✓ AH Home -1
Probability 58%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home -2
Probability 35%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Longshot value
Probability 24%
Odds 5.03
Show model details
Implied probability 19.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 91%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
FRA – UKR @ 7.00
+5.0%
Edge
Forecast →