Match Azerbaijan vs Iceland November 13, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks AH Home +2 at 1.24 — +7.0% better than the market.

Iceland bring more punch and control into this matchup, while Azerbaijan have struggled to create and protect their box. Expect the visitors to dictate most phases, with the hosts relying on set pieces and counters to stay in it.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · AH Home +2

AH Home +2 @ 1.24 ✗ Lost

AI 86% Implied 81% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AZE 3-4-2-1 · ICE 4-2-3-1

AZE · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · ICE

10 Akhundzade

📊 Statistics

AZE 0 – 2 ICE

39%

Possession (%)

61%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Iceland won 2–0 away at Azerbaijan. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 8 landed and 5 missed, for a net -1.31 units (Brier 0.185).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 8 W · 5 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.60	—	62%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
BTTS No	1.92	—	53%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
AH Home +2	1.24	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.06	—	48%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	93%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.89	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.16	—	84%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.54	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	73%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	67%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.21	—	62%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Home +1	1.99	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 5 L	−1.31u	−10% ROI