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Home › World › World Cup - Qualification Europe › Bulgaria — Türkiye

Predictions Bulgaria vs Türkiye October 11, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 11 Oct · 18:45
1:6
Full-time
Türkiye
Türkiye
W W D W W Away · last 5
Stadion Vasil Levski · Sofia Referee Luís Godinho, Portugal
Home Win · BUL
9%
Best 11.13
Draw
18%
Best 5.43
Away Win · TUR
74%
Best 1.29
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.56
book 6.00 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 18% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (74%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 8.5%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 18%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 1 market
✓ Under 2.5 Best in group
Probability 49%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 1 market
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 1 market
✓ AH Away -1 Top pick
Probability 73%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
BUL – TUR @ 6.00
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →