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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund

Predictions by Market: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
L W L W W Away · last 5
Europa-Park-Stadion · Freiburg Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRE
22%
Best 3.45
Draw
26%
Best 3.30
Away Win · DOR
53%
Best 2.15
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 3.25
Fair odds
3.00
book 3.25 · +8.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +8.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (67%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 52.8%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.7%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.4%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 13.30
Show model details
Implied probability 7.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.7%
Odds 2.44
Show model details
Implied probability 41%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
FRE – DOR @ 3.25
+8.4%
Edge
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